Americans have long seen their country as morally exceptional, but their exceptionalism actually comprises three distinct views. Whichever prevails in next year’s presidential election will have significant implications for ongoing conflicts in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East.
identifies three strands of the concept and their implications for US foreign policy after next year’s election.
With a likely rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election, America and the rest of the world were heading into a perilous period even before the latest conflagration in the Middle East. Turmoil in the region will cloud the broader economic outlook – and could dim Biden’s chances.
worries global economic and political developments will put Donald Trump back in the White House.
Around the world, foreign-policy strategists are grappling with new international dynamics, from the Sino-American rivalry and ongoing hot wars to the broader breakdown in multilateral global governance. However, there is much debate about whether global power and alignments are truly shifting, and in what ways.
consider whether the world will become more multipolar or “non-aligned” in the new year.
香港 - 二十世纪初,意大利马克思主义理论家安东尼奥·葛兰西(Antonio Gramsci)写道:“旧的正在消亡,但新的无法诞生”。今天,我们似乎也生活在一个类似的过渡时代,同样面临着“各种各样的病症”,包括但不限于全球供应链的断裂和通货膨胀回归。当前境况唯一的出路是支持新市场、新产业和新机构的发展。但是,谁来为这项行动提供资金支持呢?
在以经济快速增长和利润回报丰厚的繁荣时期,商业银行和私募机构可以帮助新兴和高效的企业筹集足够的资金,来收购和重组低效和濒临破产的公司,从而构建新的供应链。但自2008年全球金融危机以来,全球金融监管收紧,加之利率长期维持较低水平,主流金融机构更加谨慎。他们现在更偏好低风险业务并缩短投资期限。
因此,当前全球债务水平处于历史高位,市场集中度大幅提高,少数上市公司享有巨大的市场份额,科技行业尤为如此。与此同时,在公开市场受到严格监管的情况下,那些寻求更高收益率的投资者正在转向流动性较低、缺乏透明度且监管程度较低的私募市场。根据麦肯锡发布的《2023年全球私募市场评论》,2017年以来,私募市场的资产管理总额以每年近20%的速度增长,截至2022年6月已达到11.7万亿美元。
To continue reading, register now.
Subscribe now for unlimited access to everything PS has to offer.
Subscribe
As a registered user, you can enjoy more PS content every month – for free.
Register
Already have an account? Log in