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How to Prevent a War Over Taiwan

Much has changed since the 1970s, when Richard Nixon and Mao Zedong devised the “one China” formula to paper over their differences on Taiwan's status. But, if combined with other measures to bolster deterrence against any sudden acts of aggression, this 50-year-old policy can still help to keep the peace.

CAMBRIDGE – Might China try to attack Taiwan by 2027? The outgoing chief of the US Indo-Pacific Command, Philip Davidson, thought so in 2021, and he recently reaffirmed his assessment. But whether the United States and China are destined for war over the island is another question. While the danger is real, such an outcome is not inevitable.