Several developments in recent years, from sustained renminbi appreciation to increasingly aggressive Western tariffs, should have eroded China’s global manufacturing dominance, but have not. Why has China’s share of global manufacturing exports continued to rise, and what might turn the tide?
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After decades of facilitating and even encouraging China’s rise, the United States’ dramatic shift to a policy of containment continues apace, with both Republican and Democratic administrations imposing sweeping tariffs and other trade restrictions. How will the upcoming US presidential election affect the bilateral relationship, and what will this imply for the American, Chinese, and global economies?
With the world’s major economies pouring investment into artificial intelligence, ensuring the technology’s safety before its applications are known has become an increasingly urgent policy imperative. While a sci-fi-style AI apocalypse is not impossible, more immediate risks to both security and democracy must be addressed.
While stock markets have recovered somewhat from last Monday’s rout, investors remain rattled, fearing further volatility. What was behind the sudden selloff, and does it portend a period of escalating global economic distress – and even a US recession?
US Vice President Kamala Harris’s rise as the presumptive Democratic nominee has breathed new life into November’s presidential election. But Donald Trump remains a formidable opponent, and defeating him will require Harris to strike the right balance between supporting President Joe Biden and distinguishing herself from him with a compelling vision for America’s future.
More than just a test of humanity’s collective resolve, climate change is also a test of existing institutions, and that makes it a profound security risk. When a fully globalized, interdependent world is placed in a kiln and the heat is turned up, some systems will eventually emerge stronger, but many others will fail.
