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Kenneth Rogoff

Kenneth Rogoff

Writing for PS since 2002
248 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Harvard University and recipient of the 2011 Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics, was the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund from 2001 to 2003. He is co-author of This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton University Press, 2011) and author of The Curse of Cash (Princeton University Press, 2016).

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  1. Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?
    rogoff247_Eduardo ParraEuropa Press via Getty Images_spanish stock Eduardo Parra/Europa Press via Getty Images

    Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?

    Apr 5, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff sees several reasons to be more optimistic than current forecasts suggest.

  2. What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?
    rogoff246_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_nyse Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?

    Mar 4, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that investors are underestimating the severity of the threat to American democracy.

  3. Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy
    rogoff245_ Spencer PlattGetty Images_us economy Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy

    Feb 2, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff explains why the celebratory mood of CEOs and political leaders is premature – and probably misplaced.

  4. The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods
    rogoff244_Carl CourtGetty Images_global economy Carl Court/Getty Images

    The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods

    Jan 3, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that monetary tightening and fiscal deficits could undermine the post-pandemic recovery.

  5. Higher Interest Rates Are Here to Stay
    rogoff243_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_interest Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    Higher Interest Rates Are Here to Stay

    Dec 5, 2023 Kenneth Rogoff thinks that policymakers and economists must reassess their beliefs in light of current market realities.

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  1. schiffrin10_Mark WilsonGetty Images_journalists Mark Wilson/Getty Images
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    Quality Journalism Is More Important than Ever

    Anya Schiffrin, et al. explain how policymakers can support rigorous, objective reporting, just as they provide other public goods.
  2. wei60_MANJUNATH KIRANAFP via Getty Images_india population MANJUNATH KIRAN/AFP via Getty Images
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    Is India’s Economy Overhyped?

    Shang-Jin Wei argues that the country’s rapid development, while undeniable, conceals deeper structural problems.
  3. krake1_Celal GunesAnadolu via Getty Images_spring meetings Celal Gunes/Anadolu via Getty Images
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    Negotiating a Bigger, Better World Bank

    Michael Krake & Wempi Saputra explain how a new framework will nudge countries to invest in projects that deliver global public goods.
  4. redford1_Getty Images_earth conservation Getty Images
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    The Ozone Layer’s Recovery Shows How to Protect the Planet

    Robert Redford & Xiye Bastida highlight the critical role of international cooperation in preserving the planet’s habitability.
  5. kuttab59_AFP via Getty Images_hamas war AFP via Getty Images
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    The Middle East Needs a Ceasefire Now

    Daoud Kuttab explains why the latest escalation could lead to a truce instead of an all-out military showdown.
  6. moreiradasilva2_JOHN WESSELSAFP via Getty Images_internally displaced mozambique JOHN WESSELS/AFP via Getty Images
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    Overcoming the Development-Project Implementation Gap

    Jorge Moreira da Silva highlights ways to strengthen the International Development Association’s already-powerful impact.
  7. diwan27_ LUIS TATOAFP via Getty Images_kenya green energy LUIS TATO/AFP via Getty Images
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    Developing Countries’ Liquidity Crisis Is Not Over

    Ishac Diwan & Vera Songwe urge global policymakers to prevent mass insolvency and finance urgent climate projects.
  8. rodrik221_SAUL LOEBAFP via Getty Images_bidenintel Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images
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    America’s Manufacturing Renaissance Will Create Few Good Jobs

    Dani Rodrik

    Many countries’ recent experiences show that boosting manufacturing employment is like chasing a fast-receding target. Automation and skill-biased technology have made it extremely unlikely that manufacturing can be the labor-absorbing activity it once was, which means that the future of “good jobs” must be created in services.

     shows why policies to boost employment in the twenty-first century ultimately must focus on services.
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    Minxin Pei on China’s economy, surveillance state, repression of dissent, and more

    Minxin Pei doubts China’s government is willing to do what is needed to restore growth, describes the low-tech approaches taken by the country’s vast security apparatus, considers the Chinese social-credit system’s repressive potential, and more.

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