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Kenneth Rogoff

Kenneth Rogoff

Writing for PS since 2002
248 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Harvard University and recipient of the 2011 Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics, was the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund from 2001 to 2003. He is co-author of This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton University Press, 2011) and author of The Curse of Cash (Princeton University Press, 2016).

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  1. Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?
    rogoff247_Eduardo ParraEuropa Press via Getty Images_spanish stock Eduardo Parra/Europa Press via Getty Images

    Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?

    Apr 5, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff sees several reasons to be more optimistic than current forecasts suggest.

  2. What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?
    rogoff246_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_nyse Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?

    Mar 4, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that investors are underestimating the severity of the threat to American democracy.

  3. Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy
    rogoff245_ Spencer PlattGetty Images_us economy Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy

    Feb 2, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff explains why the celebratory mood of CEOs and political leaders is premature – and probably misplaced.

  4. The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods
    rogoff244_Carl CourtGetty Images_global economy Carl Court/Getty Images

    The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods

    Jan 3, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that monetary tightening and fiscal deficits could undermine the post-pandemic recovery.

  5. Higher Interest Rates Are Here to Stay
    rogoff243_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_interest Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    Higher Interest Rates Are Here to Stay

    Dec 5, 2023 Kenneth Rogoff thinks that policymakers and economists must reassess their beliefs in light of current market realities.

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  1. prasad24_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_nyse Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    A Weak, Uneven Global Recovery

    Eswar Prasad & Caroline Smiltneks explain why domestic political divisions and inflationary pressures jeopardize current market optimism.
  2. singer230_View PicturesPeter CookUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_cambridge View Pictures/Peter Cook/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    Will Cambridge Support Free Speech?

    Peter Singer examines the university’s ongoing case against Nathan Cofnas, a research fellow who advocates “race realism.”
  3. bp china economy1 CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images

    Can China Get Out of Its Rut?

    China’s authorities have powerful economic-policy levers at their disposal to achieve their 5% growth target this year and to put the economy on a more sustainable long-term growth path. But several trends – from the shift toward state capitalism to population aging to the loss of goodwill between Chinese and Americans – could thwart China’s ambition to join the ranks of high-income countries by mid-century.

  4. roach164_PEDRO PARDOPEDRO PARDOPOOLAFP via Getty Images_china development forum PEDRO PARDO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

    China Stifles Its Own Debate

    Stephen S. Roach

    For more than two decades, the China Development Forum was a meeting where foreign business, political, and academic leaders could debate the state of the Chinese economy with the country’s highest leaders. But this year’s gathering eschewed open and honest dialogue, in favor of telling only “good stories” about China.

    bemoans the transformation of the country’s most important platform for open dialogue into a schmooze-fest.
  5. pdoyle1_ISSOUF SANOGOAFP via Getty Images_cfa franc ISSOUF SANOGO/AFP via Getty Images

    Leaving Africa’s Colonial-Era Currency Will Be Hard, But May Be Wise

    Peter Doyle considers how exiting the CFA franc zone could benefit Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger, despite the challenges.
  6. benami212_Elyxandro CegarraNurPhoto via Getty Images_eumilitary Elyxandro Cegarra/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    Europe’s War Jitters

    Shlomo Ben-Ami urges EU member states to prepare for the possibility of the US abandoning its NATO commitments.
  7. mazzucato62 Getty Images

    Governments Must Shape AI’s Future

    Mariana Mazzucato & Fausto Gernone

    As with social media, the incentives around AI are aligned for rent extraction, where large companies, acting as intermediaries, amass profits at others’ expense. Governments urgently need to step in to ensure that the technology is being designed and brought to market in ways that will serve the common good.

    urge policymakers to see themselves as proactive participants in technological innovation and market-making.
  8. duquemarquez2_ArterraMarica van der MeerUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_guyana Arterra/Marica van der Meer/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    How Guyana Became Latin America’s Leading Development Lab

    Iván Duque Márquez highlights the current government’s unique approach to managing its renewable and non-renewable resources.
  9. sierakowski107_Beata ZawrzelNurPhoto via Getty Images_poland Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    Beating Back Populists at the Grassroots

    Sławomir Sierakowski interprets the seemingly mixed results of recent municipal and provincial elections in Poland.

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