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Stefan Gerlach

Stefan Gerlach

13 commentaries

Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist of EFG Bank in Zurich, is a former executive director of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and a former deputy governor of the Central Bank of Ireland.

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  1. The Limits of Central-Bank Independence
    gerlach13_ROSLAN RAHMANAFP via Getty Images_central banks ROSLAN RAHMAN/AFP via Getty Images

    The Limits of Central-Bank Independence

    Aug 1, 2024 Stefan Gerlach reminds monetary policymakers that they are ultimately reliant on political consensus, not law.

  2. Inflation Targeting Isn’t for Everyone
    gerlach12_ROSLAN RAHMANAFP via Getty Images_MAS ROSLAN RAHMAN/AFP via Getty Images

    Inflation Targeting Isn’t for Everyone

    Mar 7, 2024 Stefan Gerlach thinks small, open economies would do better with strategies tailored to their own unique circumstances.

  3. Crunch Time for Central Banks
    gerlach11_getty images_green finance Getty Images

    Crunch Time for Central Banks

    Sep 15, 2020 Stefan Gerlach urges monetary policymakers to respond to shifting public sentiment on inequality and the environment.

  4. Who Can Influence the ECB?
    gerlach10_Sean GallupGetty Images_ECBsignbuilding Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Who Can Influence the ECB?

    Oct 4, 2019 Stefan Gerlach urges eurozone governments not to nominate inflexible candidates to the European Central Bank's Executive Board.

  5. It’s Time for the ECB to Put QE on Hold
    gerlach9_Ralph OrlowskiGetty Images_eurozone Ralph Orlowski/Getty Images

    It’s Time for the ECB to Put QE on Hold

    Sep 9, 2019 Stefan Gerlach argues that the eurozone does not need additional monetary stimulus for the time being.

  1. basu111_Justin SullivanGetty Images_UScartariffs Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

    Trump’s Tariffs Will Accelerate America’s Economic Decline

    Kaushik Basu draws parallels between the administration’s policies and those that led to Argentina’s decades-long slump.
  2. blyth3_Chip SomodevillaGettyImages_trump_reciprocal_tariffs Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

    Trump, Tariffs, and the Fate of the Dollar

    Mark Blyth

    Donald Trump’s attempt to reindustrialize the US economy by eliminating trade deficits will undoubtedly cause pain and disruption on a massive scale. But it is important to remember that both major US political parties have abandoned free trade in pursuit of similar goals.

    argues that America’s protectionist policies reflect a global economic reordering that was already underway.
  3. davutoglu1_Andrew HarnikGetty Images_trumpzelensky Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

    Trump’s Old World Order

    Ahmet Davutoğlu warns that the US administration’s reckless conduct may destroy the last vestiges of multilateral cooperation.
  4. op_janeway19_MANDEL NGANAFP via Getty Images_trumpmusk Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

    Crippling America’s Innovation Economy

    William H. Janeway

    Donald Trump and Elon Musk's reign of disruption is crippling research universities’ ability to serve as productive partners in innovation, thus threatening the very system that they purport to celebrate. The Chinese, who are increasingly becoming frontier innovators in their own right, will be forever grateful.

    warns that the pillars of US dynamism and competitiveness are being systematically toppled.
  5. muzikarova8_NurPhotoGettyImages_chip_manufacturing NurPhoto/Getty Images

    America’s AI Iron Curtain

    Soňa Muzikárová explains how US export controls are harming allies and potentially helping Russia and China.
  6. hubbard5_SpencerPlattGettyImages_bessent_economic_club_of_new_york Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    What Rebalancing the US Economy Really Requires

    Glenn Hubbard thinks US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is neglecting the need for spending cuts in major federal programs.
  7. rasoolayub1_Alex WongGettyImages_voa_building Alex Wong/Getty Images

    America’s Voice No Longer Speaks for Democracy

    Heela Rasool-Ayub explains why authoritarians worldwide are celebrating Donald Trump’s renunciation of democratic advocacy.
  8. durostu1_Apu GomesGetty Images_LAfire Apu Gomes/Getty Images

    Insurers Must Embrace Geospatial AI

    Pierre du Rostu touts the technology’s benefits for an industry that must shift its focus from paying claims to managing risk.
  9. gelfand4_Andrew HarnikGettyImages_trump_gesture Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
    Free to read

    It’s Time to Abandon Trump’s Flawed Negotiation Playbook

    Michele Gelfand points out that the best dealmakers strive for win-win outcomes, not zero-sum Pyrrhic victories.

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