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Has China’s Economy Peaked?

Beyond unfavorable demographics, China is grappling with issues like large debts, misallocation of capital, severe pollution, and a troubled property sector. But China’s government has been well aware of these problems – and committed to addressing them – for a decade.

SHANGHAI – The narrative that China’s economy is nearing its peak – or has already reached it – has taken hold in Western media. But if you read the doomsayers’ analyses carefully, you will find that many of the reasons they give for their bleak assessments are not new. On the contrary, they tend to highlight precisely the same challenges that economists and commentators have been harping on for at least a decade or longer. If China was not sputtering then, why should we believe it is now?