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Robert J. Shiller

Robert J. Shiller

Writing for PS since 2003
130 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Robert J. Shiller, a 2013 Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at Yale University and the co-creator of the Case-Shiller Index of US house prices. He is the author of Irrational ExuberancePhishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception (with George Akerlof), and Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events.

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  1. Should You Buy a Home in the US?
    shiller130_Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_house market Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images

    Should You Buy a Home in the US?

    Oct 25, 2021 Robert J. Shiller emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking in today’s elevated housing market.

  2. Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices
    shiller129_bluebay2014_getty Images_economics arrow bluebay2014_Getty Images

    Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices

    Nov 30, 2020 Robert J. Shiller, et al. explain why soaring equity valuations in five world regions may not be as absurd as many people think.

  3. Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market
    shiller128_Drew AngererGetty Images_NYSEUSstockmarket Drew Angerer/Getty Images

    Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market

    Jul 7, 2020 Robert J. Shiller explains why US equity prices remain afloat when cratering demand is dragging down investment and employment.

  4. The Two Pandemics
    shiller127_Artit AungpraphapornchaiGetty Images_coronavirusgraphrecession Artit Aungpraphapornchai/Getty Images

    The Two Pandemics

    Mar 31, 2020 Robert J. Shiller shows how the financial contagion triggered by the COVID-19 crisis has taken on a life of its own.

  5. The Trump Narrative and the Next Recession
    shiller126_ANDREW HARNIKAFPGetty Images_trump g7 summit Andrew Harnik/AFP/Getty Images

    The Trump Narrative and the Next Recession

    Aug 30, 2019 Robert J. Shiller thinks an economic downturn could upend a public story that has persisted and grown for nearly 50 years.

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  1. sierakowski91_Omar MarquesGetty Images_ukrainian refugees Omar Marques/Getty Images

    Resentment on the Western Front

    Sławomir Sierakowski thinks the Polish public needs a more open and honest conversation about refugees before resentment spirals.
  2. vives17_ Leon NealGetty Images_ftx Leon Neal/Getty Images

    Crypto’s Well-Worn Path to Crisis

    Xavier Vives writes that, despite the novelty of the assets, the narrative of FTX’s collapse was established long ago.
  3. roubini171_Spencer PlattGetty Images_recession looming Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    The Unavoidable Crash

    Nouriel Roubini anticipates a stagflationary debt crisis, owing to a dangerous combination of inflation and over-borrowing.
  4. nye236_SAUL LOEBAFP via Getty Images_biden xi SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images

    War Over Taiwan?

    Joseph S. Nye, Jr. considers whether a deterrence arrangement that has worked for 50 years is still sufficient.
  5. op_livingston1_Anna MoneymakerGetty Images_fed Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

    The Contested Fed

    James Livingston

    By all accounts, central banks – particularly the Fed, because the dollar is still the world’s dominant currency – already act as investment authorities. But their recent bailouts have exacerbated economic inequality, and have done little or nothing to address climate change.

    reviews three books that, each in its own way, reveal a central truth about the world’s leading central bank.
  6. pisaniferry140_Sean GallupGetty Images_cop27 Sean GallupGetty Images

    The Economics of Mainstreaming Climate Action

    Jean Pisani-Ferry & Selma Mahfouz identify the risks and short-term costs associated with the energy transition over the next decade.
  7. haldar15_ Tayfun CoskunAnadolu Agency via Getty Images_twitter Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

    Killing Twitter

    Antara Haldar explains what Elon Musk fundamentally misunderstands about the platform – and about free speech.
  8. emmott41_musk

    The Napoleons of Big Tech

    Bill Emmott

    Recent events in the technology sector suggest that investors and lenders should be demanding a premium to cover the risk that a star entrepreneur will become an egomaniacal dictator. With each business cycle, it seems, old lessons must be relearned.

    sees in the industry’s harsh reckoning this year lessons that apparently can’t be learned often enough.
  9. BP - ftx NurPhoto / Contributor via Getty Images

    The Crypto Emperor’s New Clothes

    The collapse of several crypto platforms this year – including the spectacular crash of the second-largest cryptocurrency exchange, FTX – has raised fundamental questions about the credibility of a digital innovation once hailed as the key to democratizing finance. Has crypto finally been exposed as a scam, or will a new, stronger crypto industry emerge from the current turmoil?

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